'Each man takes the limits of his own field of vision for the limits of the world'
-- Arthur Schopenhauer, Essays and Aphorisms

'Artists are tricky fellows sir, forever shaping the world according to some design of their own'
-- Jonathan Strange, Jonathan Strange & Mr Norrell

Sunday, 15 July 2012

12 months in the life of a phosphate-mining stock

If phosphorus is the next major-power resource war then phosphate mining stocks will see a considerable rise in their value across a given time period from this point hence. Thus I will choose four phosphate-mining company stocks and I plan to evaluate their price and their trajectory in approximately twelve months hence. This goes against current market opinion that suggests stocks are a sell after a period of stagnant potash prices. Also, if you've been following the blog, the last post noted the existence of Gaussian distributions in modelling, see here also the Hubbert peak theory as a Gaussian distribution. Some commentators have applied it to phosphate prices, hence expecting a sharp fall over the coming year.

Put simply, I am arguing that war is the continuation of economics by other means. 

1. The Mosaic Company (Current 55)

2. Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan inc. (Current 43.78)

3. Intrepid Potash (Current 23.58)

4. Allana Potash Corp (Current 0.55)

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